Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 54.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Thomas
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
41.1% (559)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
50.0% (12)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
50.0% (2)
-6.0%
On even strength, Thomas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Thomas
Zegras
Home
53.6% (606)
45.7% (247)
Away
52.2% (615)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Thomas
Zegras
P1
48.2%
45.5%
P2
55.3%
36.8%
P3
55.2%
41.1%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
41.4%