Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Zegras 37.0% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 85.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 81.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Thomas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Thomas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
33.0% (264)
+17.3%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
32.1% (56)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
50.0% (2)
+4.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Thomas
Zegras
Home
52.0% (400)
35.3% (173)
Away
52.3% (476)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Thomas
Zegras
P1
49.6%
33.0%
P2
55.4%
35.7%
P3
51.0%
29.7%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |