Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 76.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 97.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 94.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Thomas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Thomas
Zegras
Last 10: Thomas 9-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
0
Thomas
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
39.0% (1,703)
+12.1%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
38.5% (148)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
25.0% (8)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Thomas shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Thomas
Zegras
Home
50.9% (3,484)
40.5% (908)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Thomas
Zegras
P1
50.7%
40.0%
P2
53.0%
38.6%
P3
50.8%
38.2%
OT
59.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 03:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |