Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
49.3% (789)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
54.1% (98)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
38.5% (231)
52.0% (512)
Away
43.2% (206)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
40.2%
42.1%
P2
36.0%
56.4%
P3
45.1%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |