Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
57.1% (368)
-11.1%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
55.2% (96)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
50.0% (10)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
50.3% (175)
53.9% (230)
Away
40.4% (114)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
56.7%
P2
45.9%
54.1%
P3
46.5%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%