Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
55.9% (499)
-4.9%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
56.3% (126)
-56.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
58.3% (12)
-22.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
Home
50.8% (258)
55.3% (349)
Away
44.9% (234)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
57.0%
P2
45.2%
59.2%
P3
47.6%
51.5%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |