Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone Girgensons 50.1%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 58.9%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 56.6%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nugent-Hopkins Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
47.2% (127)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
50.0% (2)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +20.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
48.9% (270)
50.0% (80)
Away
48.1% (287)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
48.7%
40.5%
P2
50.0%
54.3%
P3
47.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
48.5%
Girgensons
30.0%
43.5%
47.3%