Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.3%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Girgensons 45.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 64.4%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 57.1%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
45.5% (2,718)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
49.1% (175)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
42.2% (483)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
46.5% (5,361)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
45.1%
45.8%
P2
43.9%
44.1%
P3
45.2%
45.7%
OT
43.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |