Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.0%). Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Girgensons 45.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.0%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 59.7%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
45.2% (2,648)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
48.9% (174)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
42.0% (469)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,012).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
46.4% (5,318)
45.3% (1,651)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
44.6% (1,640)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
45.1%
45.7%
P2
43.8%
43.7%
P3
45.2%
45.2%
OT
43.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |