Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 77.7%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 56.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
45.1% (164)
+0.9%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
50.0% (2)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
45.2% (31)
-13.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
50.3% (175)
44.6% (92)
Away
40.4% (114)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
48.5%
44.2%
P2
45.9%
46.0%
P3
46.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |