Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.0%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
36.2% (94)
+11.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
41.2% (17)
-11.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
Home
48.5% (132)
38.0% (50)
Away
43.4% (76)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Girgensons
P1
51.4%
43.2%
P2
41.3%
34.3%
P3
48.5%
32.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%