Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 46.6% vs Jost 45.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Jost 60.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 60.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.7%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Steel
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (177)
43.3% (194)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
25.0% (8)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Steel shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Steel
Jost
Home
46.7% (90)
39.7% (78)
Away
43.7% (119)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Steel
Jost
P1
47.8%
40.5%
P2
47.0%
43.2%
P3
41.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.0%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.6%