Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 90.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 77.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 88.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Steel
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Steel
Jost
Last 10: Steel 8-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
1
Steel
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
2
Steel
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,871)
41.0% (1,977)
+9.5%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
34.7% (72)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (246)
34.9% (249)
+2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Steel shoots left. Jost is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Steel
Jost
Home
50.0% (1,551)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
50.3% (1,745)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Steel
Jost
P1
51.9%
38.5%
P2
49.5%
41.2%
P3
49.5%
40.8%
OT
41.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 4, 2020 | OT | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |