Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Jost 44.8% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Steel
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
39.5% (86)
+13.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
0.0% (1)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
42.9% (7)
-2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Steel
Jost
Home
49.5% (109)
38.9% (54)
Away
51.7% (143)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Steel
Jost
P1
49.5%
42.4%
P2
47.5%
37.8%
P3
56.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%