Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 54.5% vs Aho 52.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 75.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Couturier
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couturier
Aho
Last 5: Couturier 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Couturier
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Couturier
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (303)
51.6% (819)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.5% (55)
58.4% (173)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
46.3% (67)
-6.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Couturier shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Couturier
Aho
Home
54.3% (219)
53.9% (568)
Away
56.9% (209)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Couturier
Aho
P1
53.2%
55.4%
P2
54.8%
51.2%
P3
57.9%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |