Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.4% vs Aho 50.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 67.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 83.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Couturier
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Couturier
Aho
Last 10: Couturier 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
7
Couturier
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
0
Couturier
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (624)
50.5% (647)
+2.1%
Power Play
66.7% (66)
54.2% (131)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (188)
38.1% (42)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Couturier shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Couturier
Aho
Home
50.7% (424)
53.9% (445)
Away
56.6% (454)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Couturier
Aho
P1
55.5%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
55.2%
50.8%
OT
42.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
58.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |