Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 55.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Couturier wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Aho 54.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Couturier
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Couturier
Aho
Last 9: Couturier 4-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Couturier
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
54.5% (870)
+0.6%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
62.4% (266)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
37.1% (62)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Couturier shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Couturier
Aho
Home
58.1% (609)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.9% (586)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Couturier
Aho
P1
55.3%
54.1%
P2
55.8%
55.0%
P3
57.4%
57.4%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |