Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 85.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kuraly
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
49.3% (670)
+6.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.7% (121)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
33.3% (3)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Kuraly shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Stamkos
Home
57.3% (293)
54.0% (400)
Away
51.2% (289)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Kuraly
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
57.6%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.9%