Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.0%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.4% vs Monahan 51.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 60.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 9: Zibanejad 7-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
0
Zibanejad
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,073)
52.1% (1,301)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
50.3% (342)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (115)
38.5% (96)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
52.9% (682)
52.7% (875)
Away
47.8% (624)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
47.5%
51.0%
P2
52.8%
51.8%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
45.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 28, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |