Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Fantilli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
Aho
Last 5: Fantilli 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Fantilli
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
51.2% (785)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
63.8% (213)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
57.9% (57)
-57.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Aho
Home
46.8% (218)
54.9% (548)
Away
39.7% (174)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Fantilli
Aho
P1
40.3%
52.8%
P2
38.1%
58.9%
P3
54.1%
50.6%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |