Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.4%). Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.2% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
2
Aho
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Aho
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
9
Aho
Crosby
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (819)
50.8% (1,169)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.4% (173)
60.2% (261)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (67)
45.0% (20)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.9% (568)
53.2% (726)
Away
50.7% (491)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
55.4%
51.3%
P2
51.2%
52.1%
P3
50.9%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |