Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 82 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 116-87 in 203 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 64.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 64.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
87
-
116
(203 meetings)
87
116
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
28
35
Aho
Crosby
63 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
27
31
Aho
Crosby
58 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
32
50
Aho
Crosby
82 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (6,646)
52.8% (18,014)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
57.5% (4,738)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (465)
47.0% (766)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,868).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
52.4% (4,325)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
50.1% (4,096)
52.0% (11,539)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
52.1%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
48.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |