Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.5% vs Crosby 55.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 85.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 74.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 74.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Aho
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Aho
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
6
Aho
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (878)
53.6% (1,008)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
65.0% (246)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
60.0% (15)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.8% (571)
56.9% (675)
Away
46.9% (512)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
51.7%
53.3%
P3
50.3%
58.7%
OT
58.8%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |