Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.2% vs Novak 46.5% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 52.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Aho
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (819)
43.2% (118)
+8.4%
Power Play
58.4% (173)
47.8% (23)
+10.6%
On power play, Aho has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Aho shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Aho
Novak
Home
53.9% (568)
50.7% (71)
Away
50.7% (491)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Aho
Novak
P1
55.4%
44.7%
P2
51.2%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%