Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 46.6% vs Seguin 51.8% (-16.5%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 59.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Lorentz
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
30.8% (26)
54.8% (135)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
26.7% (15)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Lorentz shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Seguin
Home
35.0% (20)
47.4% (95)
Away
38.5% (13)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Lorentz
Seguin
P1
38.5%
50.8%
P2
37.5%
57.1%
P3
25.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
36.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%