Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Lorentz wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 49.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.6%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lorentz
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (74)
53.2% (201)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.4% (9)
-2.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Lorentz shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Seguin
Home
52.9% (68)
56.3% (126)
Away
41.2% (34)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Lorentz
Seguin
P1
58.6%
44.3%
P2
45.0%
52.1%
P3
45.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%