Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.1% vs Hertl 51.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 68.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Dickinson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dickinson
Hertl
Last 5: Dickinson 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Dickinson
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Dickinson
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (398)
51.7% (869)
-7.2%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
55.7% (176)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (62)
44.9% (138)
-9.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Dickinson shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hertl
Home
45.2% (221)
51.8% (583)
Away
40.7% (248)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Dickinson
Hertl
P1
45.1%
52.5%
P2
40.0%
50.9%
P3
44.7%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
42.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |