Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Hertl
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
54.4% (215)
+2.6%
Power Play
64.9% (188)
0.0% (1)
+64.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
23.5% (17)
+20.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Hertl shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nosek
Home
59.2% (463)
50.4% (127)
Away
56.0% (520)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Hertl
Nosek
P1
56.3%
51.4%
P2
55.4%
51.3%
P3
60.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
57.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.9%