Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 71.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hertl
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (858)
52.0% (102)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.8% (285)
100.0% (2)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
29.0% (31)
+33.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Hertl shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nosek
Home
60.1% (599)
52.0% (50)
Away
56.1% (579)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Hertl
Nosek
P1
52.4%
45.0%
P2
63.9%
42.0%
P3
58.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%