Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Jarnkrok 51.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 74.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Jarnkrok
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jarnkrok
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.8% (326)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
54.4% (79)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
43.5% (62)
-1.2%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
53.4% (515)
53.0% (281)
Away
52.6% (549)
48.4% (186)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
54.2%
51.6%
P2
54.4%
50.6%
P3
50.8%
51.5%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |