Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Jarnkrok 47.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jarnkrok
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
41.1% (56)
+11.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (12)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (26)
-10.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
52.4% (597)
55.3% (47)
Away
48.4% (583)
34.0% (47)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
48.5%
33.3%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |