Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.8%). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Jarnkrok 51.1% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 61.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.6% (19)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
55.0% (20)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
54.3% (429)
63.2% (19)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.0% (20)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
55.2%
66.7%
P3
54.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%