Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
Jarnkrok
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
2
Lowry
Jarnkrok
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
8
Lowry
Jarnkrok
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
49.3% (3,352)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
51.9% (258)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
40.2% (625)
+4.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,902).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
53.4% (5,759)
50.6% (2,253)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
45.3% (1,982)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
51.5%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
48.0%
P3
51.3%
48.8%
OT
47.8%
40.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |