Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
Jarnkrok
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
2
Lowry
Jarnkrok
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
8
Lowry
Jarnkrok
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
49.2% (3,357)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
51.9% (258)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
40.4% (643)
+4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarnkrok
Home
53.5% (5,920)
50.5% (2,262)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
45.3% (1,996)
By Period
Lowry
Jarnkrok
P1
51.6%
47.7%
P2
51.7%
48.0%
P3
51.5%
48.8%
OT
46.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |