Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.5%). Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Geekie 52.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 66.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Geekie
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Lowry
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
53.2% (615)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
44.4% (36)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
44.4% (18)
-2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
53.4% (515)
55.0% (331)
Away
52.6% (549)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
54.2%
53.9%
P2
54.4%
56.0%
P3
50.8%
46.5%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |