Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Geekie 47.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
46.7% (120)
+9.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
48.6% (35)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
0.0% (3)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
54.3% (429)
46.8% (77)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
53.1%
42.4%
P2
55.2%
49.1%
P3
54.4%
47.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |