Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.1% vs Geekie 46.8% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 74.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (459)
44.4% (99)
+10.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
48.3% (29)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
0.0% (3)
+41.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
53.4% (268)
43.7% (71)
Away
54.0% (265)
45.0% (60)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
52.1%
39.2%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
42.9%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.7%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |