Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Geekie 49.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.9% (505)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
0.0% (6)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.4% (93)
-8.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
52.4% (597)
50.0% (314)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
48.5%
51.3%
P2
52.2%
46.9%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |