Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Geekie 47.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 56.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
45.7% (352)
+8.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
63.2% (19)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
33.3% (3)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
53.0% (583)
48.5% (165)
Away
50.6% (605)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
52.1%
48.5%
P2
51.8%
45.1%
P3
52.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |