Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Kurashev 47.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 82.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 61.8%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lowry
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Kurashev
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Kurashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Kurashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
3
Lowry
Kurashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
46.3% (203)
+3.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
49.1% (57)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
35.7% (14)
+6.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kurashev
Home
50.2% (671)
45.0% (140)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.8% (134)
By Period
Lowry
Kurashev
P1
48.4%
51.9%
P2
50.1%
44.3%
P3
47.8%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |