Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Kurashev 48.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 80.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.7%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 51.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Lowry
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Kurashev
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Lowry
Kurashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Kurashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Lowry
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
46.7% (184)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (16)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
50.0% (6)
-7.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kurashev
Home
53.0% (583)
44.4% (63)
Away
50.6% (605)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Lowry
Kurashev
P1
52.1%
53.8%
P2
51.8%
38.7%
P3
52.3%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |