Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.1% vs Kurashev 48.4% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 80.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.4%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 56.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Lowry
Kurashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Kurashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (459)
50.0% (26)
+5.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (22)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
0.0% (5)
+41.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Lowry is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Lowry shoots left. Kurashev is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kurashev
Home
53.4% (268)
46.7% (30)
Away
54.0% (265)
43.5% (23)
By Period
Lowry
Kurashev
P1
52.1%
47.6%
P2
55.8%
36.4%
P3
53.4%
47.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.7%
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |