Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Kurashev 45.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Kurashev leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kurashev 90.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 67.6%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Lowry
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Lowry
Kurashev
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
2
4
Lowry
Kurashev
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Kurashev
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
4
Lowry
Kurashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
44.5% (904)
+8.3%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
45.0% (151)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
43.2% (37)
+1.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Kurashev is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kurashev
Home
53.4% (5,759)
45.2% (511)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
43.9% (581)
By Period
Lowry
Kurashev
P1
51.5%
45.9%
P2
51.7%
44.3%
P3
51.3%
43.6%
OT
47.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |