Alexander Kerfoot vs Brock Nelson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Nelson 47.5% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kerfoot
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
46.9% (915)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.4% (94)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
25.0% (28)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Nelson
Home
47.6% (84)
48.9% (521)
Away
41.0% (61)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Kerfoot
Nelson
P1
50.9%
45.9%
P2
38.2%
48.0%
P3
44.1%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
44.8%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%