Alexander Kerfoot vs Brock Nelson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Nelson 51.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Kerfoot
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kerfoot
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
51.3% (1,002)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
58.7% (126)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
51.9% (81)
-3.7%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Nelson
Home
57.4% (235)
52.5% (590)
Away
47.9% (259)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Kerfoot
Nelson
P1
53.2%
50.5%
P2
53.3%
54.4%
P3
50.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |