Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 92.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Copp
Tkachuk
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Copp
Tkachuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
1
Copp
Tkachuk
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
47.5% (421)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
50.3% (336)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
12.5% (8)
+33.0%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
51.3% (667)
49.9% (389)
Away
48.3% (632)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
50.2%
44.4%
P2
51.8%
51.8%
P3
48.0%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
49.8%
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |