Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Tkachuk 55.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 64.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 86.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Copp
Tkachuk
Last 6: Copp 0-6 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
5
Copp
Tkachuk
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Copp
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
54.9% (153)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
59.4% (106)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
100.0% (1)
-54.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
54.4% (441)
50.8% (128)
Away
53.4% (421)
62.9% (132)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
52.0%
56.6%
P2
55.8%
58.9%
P3
54.2%
56.2%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |