Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 84.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Copp
Tkachuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
51.0% (194)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
51.7% (151)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.0% (2)
-2.4%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
52.0% (348)
50.0% (140)
Away
49.1% (279)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
48.4%
54.3%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.7%
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |