Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Tkachuk 50.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 82.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Copp
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Copp
Tkachuk
Last 10: Copp 2-8 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
15
Copp
Tkachuk
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
9
1
Copp
Tkachuk
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
1
Copp
Tkachuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
48.9% (1,574)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
51.4% (1,303)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
45.0% (20)
+0.3%
On power play, Copp has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Home / Away
Copp
Tkachuk
Home
52.7% (3,561)
50.7% (1,435)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
49.3% (1,462)
By Period
Copp
Tkachuk
P1
52.9%
49.4%
P2
51.7%
51.3%
P3
51.4%
49.1%
OT
39.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |