Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Evans 52.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 60.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Copp
Evans
Last 9: Copp 3-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Copp
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Copp
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
54.4% (807)
-0.3%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
55.0% (20)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
46.1% (310)
-3.9%
On power play, Copp has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
51.9% (511)
53.7% (581)
Away
55.3% (490)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
54.1%
54.6%
P2
54.2%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |