Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Evans 52.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 70.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Copp
Evans
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
0
Copp
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Copp
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
54.4% (824)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
66.7% (9)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
48.1% (289)
-0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
52.0% (348)
55.1% (541)
Away
49.1% (279)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
48.4%
51.8%
P2
50.2%
53.3%
P3
53.4%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |