Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.9%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Evans 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 69.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Copp
Evans
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
11
5
Copp
Evans
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
11
Copp
Evans
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
6
Copp
Evans
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,314)
53.5% (3,567)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.3% (477)
60.0% (70)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (920)
46.8% (1,179)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,397).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,565).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
52.6% (3,451)
53.2% (2,509)
Away
51.0% (3,260)
50.5% (2,307)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
53.2%
54.0%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
51.2%
51.6%
OT
38.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jake Evans |