Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.6%). Copp wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.8% vs Evans 53.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 74.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Copp
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (554)
53.6% (349)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.5% (42)
70.0% (10)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
55.9% (161)
-10.2%
On power play, Evans has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
53.8% (331)
54.1% (290)
Away
55.0% (311)
55.2% (230)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
55.2%
60.1%
P2
55.2%
53.5%
P3
53.1%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
54.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |