Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Evans 55.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 81.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Copp
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
55.6% (522)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
72.7% (11)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
55.2% (210)
-9.4%
On power play, Evans has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
54.4% (441)
54.7% (402)
Away
53.4% (421)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
52.0%
57.9%
P2
55.8%
55.2%
P3
54.2%
53.6%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |