Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 81.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 78.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 77.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Cirelli
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
40.4% (841)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
42.4% (66)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
32.7% (147)
+13.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cates
Home
52.4% (462)
38.2% (566)
Away
50.1% (369)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Cirelli
Cates
P1
50.7%
40.5%
P2
49.6%
42.4%
P3
53.3%
35.3%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
51.4%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |